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Thread: Something fishy in Alaska

  1. #1
    Super Moderator twitchy2.0's Avatar
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    Default Something fishy in Alaska

    Crunching the Numbers in Alaska.

    6 11 2008 OK…
    I’m not generally a conspiracy theorist. I say “generally”, because sometimes conspiracies happen. And sometimes it would be foolish to ignore them. The only thing worse than being labeled a conspiracy theorist, is being labeled a gullible idiot when it all comes to light. So I invite you to hop on board the Conspiracy Theory Express with me for a moment, because it’s pulling out of the station here in Alaska, ready to take you on a five minute tour.

    As the final numbers roll in from state and national elections, I and others have noticed some results that are interesting at best, and highly suspect at worst. Either way, they deserve some scrutiny.

    Let’s look at the national numbers first. Keep in mind that Alaska’s very own Governor, and the new GOP golden girl, Sarah Palin, was on the ticket. And Barack Obama has excited progressive Alaskans like no candidate before.

    He had five field offices, great ground organization, and inspired the biggest candidate rally in Alaska history. Voter turnout here was expected to be through the roof and breaking all records.

    In 2004, 66% of registered voters turned out to vote in the presidential election between George Bush and John Kerry.

    In 2008, including the votes still outstanding, only 54% of registered voters turned out.

    And the strangest part of all? Voter turnout in the primaries, before Palin was even on the ticket, was up 12% from 2004. We also had more than 20,000 new registered voters.

    Curious.

    As these strange numbers rolled in at Election Central, I was there watching. Here’s how it fell out over time.

    With 36% of the precincts reporting:

    61.76% for McCain
    35.64% for Obama

    With 81.3% reporting
    61.54% for McCain
    35.69% for Obama

    With 96.1% reporting
    61.29% for McCain
    35.96% for Obama

    Alaska, like many states, has blue areas and red areas. The Mat-Su Valley, home of Sarah Palin is very very red. Anchorage? Blue. The Kenai Peninsula? Red. Juneau? Blue. You get the idea. When I, and my fellow progressive celebrants watched the first numbers come in, we thought, “That must be the Valley”, because the latest polls actually had the presidential race neck and neck with Obama only 2.7 points behind. We kept waiting for the progressive areas of the state to kick in, but they never did. No fluctuations one way or the other more than .3%. And George Bush won the 2004 election her by a margin of…..61-35.

    Strange.

    Then, we’ve got the two Congressional races.

    Ted Stevens vs. Mark Begich. The convicted felon is currently ahead by about 3300 votes, with about 60,000 absentee and early votes left to count. It’s a squeaker, and Begich may pull this one off. By why is it a squeaker when the last poll had Begich 22 points ahead? He’d been running at a dead heat in the polling before Ted’s conviction, but after the seven felony convictions came in, Begich’s lead widened considerably. Pretty stunning turnaround for Stevens.

    Remarkable.

    How about Ethan Berkowitz vs. Don Young for the Congressional seat?
    Berkowitz consistently led Young in every single poll since May by 5-14 points. Contrary to this comfortable and consistent lead, Don Young managed to pull off a stunning upset by trouncing Berkowitz by more than 7 points.

    Amazing.

    And since history is always our best teacher, let’s look back at the 2004 elections in Alaska. The majority of precincts had voter turnout of over 100%. In some cases, voter turnout was over 200%. Either Alaskans are enthusiastic about their vote to the point of breaking the law and voting twice, or there’s something very very wrong.
    (From Shannyn Moore) There are 40 districts in Alaska. The Anchorage area districts run from District 17 to District 32. Scroll down to the bottom of the page and pick any district from 17-32. Pay particular attention to the 3rd column labeled % turnout. Hit the back arrow and select another district. There are more precincts with voter turnout over 100% than under 100%. In other words, many more people voted in Anchorage area precincts than there were registered voters. Clearly, this is not possible. In 2006, the Democrats filed a lawsuit against the Alaska Division of Elections to release public records needed to verify the 2004 election results. The Democrats ALSO sought to have the Alaska Division of Elections release the raw election data for the 2006 election.
    It’s been more than 24 hours since the polls closed in Alaska, and the red flags are already waving.

    OK, the Conspiracy Theory Express bus 5-minute tour is over, and you may now hop off. This was just a test drive. Keep your eyes on how the final numbers turn out. Democracy requires vigilance, and hopefully our state candidates will not be afraid to stand their ground. The Obama campaign had a team of lawyers at the ready in case election fraud was detected. It’s a wise precaution, and an obligation to the electorate whose fundamental rights hang in the balance. If I were Ethan Berkowitz or Mark Begich or Barack Obama, I’d make sure I took the process to the end, and took advantage of the media spotlight which still shines on our state, before it vanishes, and we are left to sort out our election questions in the dark. Sunshine is the best disinfectant.

    UPDATE - Here’s some new coverage on this topic from The Washington Post and from 538.com.
    Crunching the Numbers in Alaska. « Mudflats
    "If you are not outraged, then you are not paying attention," Heather Heyer's facebook quote.

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    Elite Member McJag's Avatar
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    That is strange indeed-almost creepy.
    I didn't start out to collect diamonds, but somehow they just kept piling up.-Mae West

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    Elite Member WesCAdle's Avatar
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    It's probably members of the "Alaskan Hillbillies" (Palins) doing the counting so that explains alot of the disparity. Betcha anything that Bible Spice tries to steal the senate spot from Stevens through some government loophole that permits the governor to pick a person to replace a legislator if they are convicted on a felony. Especially now that she's tasted a little power! Somehow this "law" or addendum will appear and be as real as CNN's holograms. I hope the state and GOP revolt against her and that lying appendage that's her spokewhore, Stapleton.
    as privileged as a whore...victims in demand for public show, swept out through the cracks beneath the door, holier than thou, how?

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    Elite Member cmmdee's Avatar
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    This is strange.

    IMO, Stephens shouldn't have been allowed to even run. It's a mockery.

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    Quote Originally Posted by WesCAdle View Post
    It's probably members of the "Alaskan Hillbillies" (Palins) doing the counting so that explains alot of the disparity. Betcha anything that Bible Spice tries to steal the senate spot from Stevens through some government loophole that permits the governor to pick a person to replace a legislator if they are convicted on a felony. Especially now that she's tasted a little power! Somehow this "law" or addendum will appear and be as real as CNN's holograms. I hope the state and GOP revolt against her and that lying appendage that's her spokewhore, Stapleton.
    Palin could resign as governor and have her Lt. Governor appoint her to the Senate.

    And there is no way I believe that convicted felon Stevens overcame a 22 point deficit to come out on top. No way.

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    Elite Member NicoleWasHere's Avatar
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    I keep reading the thread title as "Something Frisky in Alaska" ¬_¬

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    Gold Member ymeman's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sasha View Post
    Palin could resign as governor and have her Lt. Governor appoint her to the Senate.

    And there is no way I believe that convicted felon Stevens overcame a 22 point deficit to come out on top. No way.

    wow...if it's possible to do that then I bet you this is exactly what she will do. Crap on a stick, I was hoping she'd be off the national scene for good.

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    Elite Member nana55's Avatar
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    If that happened in California where Barak was about 20 to 22% ahead, people would be up in arms. This is indeed very fishy. Hope they check it out
    If I can't be a good example, then let me be a horrible warning.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sasha View Post
    Palin could resign as governor and have her Lt. Governor appoint her to the Senate.

    And there is no way I believe that convicted felon Stevens overcame a 22 point deficit to come out on top. No way.
    I wouldn't be surprised if she did that. It would be hilarious if her Lt. Governor appoints someone else to the senate after she steps down.
    ~~~Jesus please save me from your fanclub~~~

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