John McCain overtakes Barack Obama in polls

[kingcap72]

GOP bounce: McCain overtakes Obama
Politico
John McCain has overtaken Barack Obama in the Gallup daily tracking poll and has his highest level of support in that poll since early May.
McCain leads Obama 48 percent to 45 percent among registered voters, by Gallup’s measure. McCain has so far earned the same convention bounce as Obama, though at a more rapid pace.
Obama peaked at a 5-point convention bounce in polling published last Tuesday. He was ahead 49 percent to 43 percent in the Gallup poll conducted before the Republican convention. He then soared to 50 percent for the first time of the election, by Gallup’s measure, while McCain fell to 42 percent.
McCain’s 5-point to 6-point bounce so far, like Obama’s, remains at par with historical expectations. In the 22 major-party conventions since 1964, the nominee walked away with, on average in most years, a 5-point to 6-point uptick in Gallup’s polls. The presidential polling will likely remain in flux until the middle of next week.
Today's Gallup report continues to include some polling conducted prior to McCain's acceptance speech. Tomorrow's report will be the first to include interviews solely conducted following the close of the GOP convention.
Rasmussen’s daily tracking poll also reported today that when "leaners” are included, Obama and McCain are now tied at 48 percent. That means that, by Rasmussen’s measure, Obama’s 6-point bounce has been erased. CBS News polling had shown the same outcome midway through the GOP convention.
McCain’s resurgence in the polls comes as Nielsen Media Research reported that the Republican convention earned more television viewers than the Democratic convention. Republicans earned an average audience of 34.5 million, while Democrats earned an average viewership of 30.2 million.
Obama, McCain and GOP vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin all earned a similar and record audience for their convention speeches, each nearing about 40 million viewers.
GOP bounce: McCain overtakes Obama

[Coyote]

Just means its not over yet ...

"The Republicans had a very successful convention and, at least initially, the selection of Sarah Palin has made a big difference," says political scientist Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia. "He's in a far better position than his people imagined he would be in at this point."


However, in an analysis of the impact of political conventions since 1960, Sabato concluded that post-convention polls signal the election's outcome only about half the time. "You could flip a coin and be about as predictive," he says. "It is really surprising how quickly convention memories fade."

Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama - USATODAY.com

[kingcap72]

I'm not too worried. I expected McCain to get a little bounce just like Obama did. This race is going to be tight until election day, so the debates are going to be key.

[Coyote]

Obama needs to come off with lots of humility and not seem "elitist" (whatever the hell that means) - Biden can't be too mean to Palin.

Regardless of what the polls say, I still think its their ball to fumble.

[bychance]

[bychance]

Originally Posted by Coyote

Obama needs to come off with lots of humility and not seem "elitist" (whatever the hell that means) - Biden can't be too mean to Palin.

Regardless of what the polls say, I still think its their ball to fumble.

It means being intelligent.

[kingcap72]

That 'elitist' label they keep trying to smack on Obama is so stupid just because he went to Harvard. Hell, Bush went to Yale, and nobody thought he was 'elitist.' But, then again, Bush mangles the English language every chance he gets, so that's probably why.

And, yeah, I think this race is Obama and Biden's to lose. As far as Palin goes, she's just a one-trick pony who can't do anything but toss out insults. I think that'll come through loud and clear in the debates.

[Beeyotch]

Just hearing stuff like this makes me want to donate heavily to Obama's campaign. What's the maximum contribution allowed by private individuals?

[Coyote]

Its a ridiculous label - he jut can't give them any ammo for it.

He should do some video study to practice...

YouTube Video

[kingcap72]

^^The amount you can give depends on the state that you live in and what political office the person is running for.

Edit: Coyote is right. I was thinking about some of the state political races. My bad.

[Coyote]

Originally Posted by Beeyotch

Just hearing stuff like this makes me want to donate heavily to Obama's campaign. What's the maximum contribution allowed by private individuals?

For the 2008 general election, the contribution limit is $2,300 from an individual to a single candidate and $28,500 to the national party in one calendar year.

2008 limits

[nycgirl]

The label is funny because he had such humble beginnings. I'm reading his book right now (Dreams from my father) and apparently he lived all over- even in a small apartment in Harlem for some time. He also took out student loans to pay for college like the rest of us (well most of us lol)!

As for the polls, I never pay attention to them. They change every week.

[Beeyotch]

Originally Posted by Coyote

For the 2008 general election, the contribution limit is $2,300 from an individual to a single candidate and $28,500 to the national party in one calendar year.

2008 limits

Thanks, I was just reading something like that at the store on Obama's website. $28,500 is a bit rich for my blood, but I could well end up donating a hundred every time I get pissed reading ridiculous news like this.

[Coyote]

Money = speech ... so saith our masters

[blimeylake]

This is happening because Palin is all over the news. Either in a negative or positive light.