[Grimmlok]

Did you even read the article? lol

He's not right, there is no way the shi'ite majority or Iran would allow it to happen. Sunnis are outnumbered 5 to 1. How in the name of hell can an "Al Qaeda" takeover happen in that environment? Seriously, I want to hear the logic on this one. Also, the whole "Al qaeda" in Iraq thing is mostly bunk.. out of all the attacks, bombings, only about 2% is attributed to Al Qaeda, the rest is generic ethnic/tribal/religious bullshit from the indigenous population fighting itself. That's also a fact, but of course the nutsos in power love to thump the "OMG AL QAEDA IZ RESPONSIBLE 4 EVERYTIN!" crap because it makes a handy soundbite.

Secondly, the only reason for the "surge" being there in the first place is to provide the fractured Iraqi government "breathing room" for "political reconciliation". That hasn't happened, nor does it show any sign of happening. In fact, it's more divided now than before. They aren't interested in running their own country, they're interested in tribal superiority. The surge has failed in its purpose.

Nothing in that country will ever get done, it will eventually fracture along tribal and ethnic/religious lines and tear itself apart for the oil revenue. The only way it was ever, EVER held together was by force. Iraq isn't even a real country in the sense that it naturally evolved.. it was stitched together by colonial britain.